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ICAP PRC-2 · QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS FOR BUSINESS · CHAPTER 9

Indices

Key Definitions · Core Concept · Key Rules & Principles · Formula Zone — Simple (Unweighted) Indices · Formula Zone — Weighted Price Indices · Formula Zone — Quantity Indices · Formula Zone — Cpi, Inflation, Purchasing Power & Wages

Premium Exam Revision · Prepared by Haleema Lateef · Learning League
1

Chapter Overview

🧭

Your visual roadmap through the chapter

Index Numbers

Base periods, price/quantity/value indices

Unweighted & Weighted Indices

Simple, Laspeyre, Paasche & Fisher methods

Inflation, Purchasing Power & Wages

CPI, inflation rate, real vs nominal values

Index numbers are statistical devices used to measure changes in price, quantity or value over time, relative to a chosen base period.

Indices (like the CPI) drive real-world decisions on inflation, wages, purchasing power and government economic policy.

Construct simple, Laspeyre, Paasche and Fisher indices; calculate CPI, inflation rate, purchasing power, and real vs nominal wages/GDP.

2

Key Definitions

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Source-based terminology, exam-ready

Index Number

A statistical device used to express the relationship between quantitative variables, often as a measure of fluctuation in the economy.

Key word: relative measure

Base Period

The reference period (usually given a value of 100 or 1,000) against which all other periods are compared.

Key word: reference = 100

Price / Quantity / Value Index

Price: change in price of goods/services. Quantity: change in volume. Value: change in total value (price × quantity).

Key word: price, volume, or both

Unweighted vs Weighted Index

Unweighted: equal importance to each item. Weighted: relative importance/significance of each item is factored in.

Key word: equal vs relative importance

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Measures the cost of a "typical" consumer basket of goods/services at a point in time, compared to the base year.

Key word: cost of living

Inflation / Deflation

Inflation: general increase in prices (money buys less). Deflation: general decrease in prices (money buys more).

Key word: prices up/down

Purchasing Power

The reciprocal of the CPI (×100); the real value of money given current prices. Inversely related to the CPI.

Key word: 1/CPI × 100

Nominal vs Real Wages

Nominal (money) wage: amount earned in current rupees, ignoring inflation. Real wage: what that money can actually buy after inflation.

Key word: earned vs buying power

3

Core Concept

🎯

Explained in exam-oriented language

CONCEPT → Index Numbers

MEANING

A base value (usually 100) against which every other period's value is compared.

PURPOSE

Judge past changes and forecast future values for price, quantity or value.

APPLICATION

CPI, stock market indices, GDP deflators, wage/salary adjustments.

CONCEPT → Weighting (Laspeyre vs Paasche)

MEANING

Different items matter differently; weighting reflects each item's real importance in the basket.

PURPOSE

Avoid distortion from treating all items as equally significant.

APPLICATION

Laspeyre uses base-year quantities; Paasche uses current-year quantities as weights.

4

Key Rules & Principles

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Every source rule, exam-ready

RULE 1 Selecting the base period

Should not be too far in the past

Should reflect stability within the variables (free from abnormalities like earthquakes, lockouts)

RULE 4 Laspeyre vs Paasche bias

Laspeyre tends to OVERSTATE inflation (ignores consumers buying less of items that got pricier)

Paasche tends to UNDERSTATE inflation (biased to cheaper substitute items)

Laspeyre needs less new data each year, so it's used more in practice

RULE 2 Fixed base vs Chain base method

Fixed base: one base year stays unchanged throughout

Chain base: base period moves year to year; results are "link relatives", later converted back to a fixed base to give the chain index

RULE 5 Fisher's ideal index

Fisher index = geometric mean of the Laspeyre and Paasche indices

Balances both indices' baskets (base period AND current period)

RULE 3 Rebasing an index

Divide the existing index number in each year by the index number of the new base year, then ×100

Rebasing never changes the underlying story — only how it's expressed

RULE 6 CPI, inflation & purchasing power links

CPI rises → inflation; CPI falls → deflation

Purchasing power is inversely proportional to the CPI

GDP deflator (Nominal GDP÷Real GDP) is a broader measure of inflation than CPI

5

Formula Zone — Simple (Unweighted) Indices

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Every formula supported by the source text

SIMPLE PRICE INDEX & SIMPLE QUANTITY INDEX

Price Index = (p1÷p0)×100 | Quantity Index = (q1÷q0)×100

p0/q0=base period price/quantity, p1/q1=current period. For a single item only.

SIMPLE AGGREGATE PRICE INDEX

Simple Aggregate Price Index = (Σp1 ÷ Σp0) × 100

Sum of current-period prices ÷ sum of base-period prices, for a group of items. Ignores relative importance of items.

AVERAGE OF PRICE RELATIVES

P = Σ{ (p1÷p0)×100 } ÷ K

K=number of commodities. Changes in measuring units do not affect this index's value.

Composite Price Index — the two families

Unweighted: Simple Aggregative Method; Average of Relatives Method.

Weighted: Weighted Aggregative Method (Laspeyre/Paasche/Fisher); Average of Weighted Relatives Method.

5

Formula Zone — Weighted Price Indices

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Every formula supported by the source text

LASPEYRE PRICE INDEX

Σ(p1×q0) ÷ Σ(p0×q0) × 100

Uses BASE year quantities (q0) as weights. The usual/default weighted price index.

PAASCHE PRICE INDEX

Σ(p1×q1) ÷ Σ(p0×q1) × 100

Uses CURRENT year quantities (q1) as weights — must be recollected every year.

FISHER PRICE INDEX (IDEAL INDEX)

Fisher = √(Laspeyre × Paasche)

The geometric mean of the Laspeyre and Paasche price indices.

AVERAGE OF WEIGHTED RELATIVES

Index = ΣPw ÷ Σw

P=price relative (p1/p0×100), w=weight assigned, Pw=P×w for each item.

5

Formula Zone — Quantity Indices

🧮

Every formula supported by the source text

LASPEYRE QUANTITY INDEX

Σ(p0×q1) ÷ Σ(p0×q0) × 100

Uses BASE year price levels (p0) as weights.

PAASCHE QUANTITY INDEX

Σ(p1×q1) ÷ Σ(p1×q0) × 100

Uses CURRENT price levels (p1) as weights.

FISHER QUANTITY INDEX (IDEAL INDEX)

Fisher = √(Laspeyre Qty × Paasche Qty)

The geometric mean of the Laspeyre and Paasche quantity indices.

CHAIN INDEX

Chain Index = (Relative Indexcurrent × Chain Indexprevious) ÷
100

Link Relative = (value in current period ÷ value in previous period)×100. Used to monitor and forecast trends.

5

Formula Zone — Cpi, Inflation, Purchasing Power & Wages

🧮

Every formula supported by the source text

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI)

CPI = (Cost of basket, current year ÷ Cost of basket, base
year) × 100

Other methods: Family Budget Method (ΣPw/w); Expenditure Method (Σ(p1q0)/Σ(p0q0)×100).

INFLATION RATE

Inflation Rate = [(CPI2−CPI1) ÷ CPI1] × 100

CPI rising = inflation; CPI falling = deflation.

PURCHASING POWER

PP = (1 ÷ CPI) × 100

Inversely related to the CPI — as CPI rises, purchasing power falls.

REAL GDP & GDP DEFLATOR

Real GDP = current-year quantity × base-year price |
GDP Deflator = Nominal GDP ÷ Real GDP

GDP deflator is a broader measure of inflation than the CPI.

REAL WAGE EQUIVALENCE

Wagebase ÷ CPIbase = Wagecurrent ÷ CPIcurrent

Used to find the equivalent (inflation-adjusted) wage needed in the current period, e.g. for a dearness allowance.

6

Calculation Roadmap

🗺️

General path for any index question

1· Read Question

Identify base & current period data

2· Identify Index Type

Simple, Laspeyre, Paasche, Fisher, CPI...?

3· Select Formula

Match weights (q0 or q1; p0 or p1)

4· Substitute

Put known values into the formula

5· Calculate & Interpret

Solve, state % change, final answer

7

Step-by-step Methods

🪜

Kept separate — do not mix methods

METHOD A · Simple/Aggregate Price Index

  1. 1Identify base-period and current-period prices
  2. 2Single item: divide current by base, ×100
  3. 3Multiple items (unweighted): sum current prices, sum base prices, divide, ×100
  4. 4State the % change from the index value

METHOD D · Chain Index

  1. 1Calculate each year's link relative vs the PREVIOUS year
  2. 2Year 1's chain index = its relative index (base = 100)
  3. 3Each subsequent chain index = (this year's relative × last year's chain index)÷100
  4. 4Continue year by year to build the full chain series

METHOD B · Laspeyre / Paasche Index

  1. 1Tabulate p0, q0, p1, q1 for every item
  2. 2Laspeyre: compute p1×q0 and p0×q0 columns
  3. 3Paasche: compute p1×q1 and p0×q1 columns instead
  4. 4Sum each column, divide, ×100

METHOD E · CPI & Inflation Rate

  1. 1Total the basket's cost in the base year and in each other year
  2. 2CPI = (current basket cost ÷ base basket cost)×100 for each year
  3. 3Inflation rate = (CPI2−CPI1)÷CPI1 ×100 between any two years
  4. 4Positive = inflation; negative = deflation

METHOD C · Fisher Index

  1. 1Calculate the Laspeyre index for the same data
  2. 2Calculate the Paasche index for the same data
  3. 3Multiply the two index values together
  4. 4Take the square root for the Fisher (ideal) index

METHOD F · Purchasing Power / Real Wage / Real GDP

  1. 1Purchasing power: substitute the CPI into PP=(1/CPI)×100
  2. 2Real wage: solve Wagebase/CPIbase=Wagecurrent/CPIcurrent for the unknown
  3. 3Real GDP: multiply current-year quantities by BASE-year prices
  4. 4GDP deflator = Nominal GDP÷Real GDP; convert to an index/% for inflation
8

Different Cases / Scenarios

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Recognise what's given, pick the right index

IF only one item/commodity is involved

→ USE a simple price/quantity index

IF multiple items, all treated as equally important

→ USE the simple aggregative or average of relatives method

IF weights are BASE-year quantities

→ USE the Laspeyre index

IF weights are CURRENT-year quantities

→ USE the Paasche index

IF asked for the "ideal" index balancing both periods

→ USE the Fisher index (√Laspeyre×Paasche)

IF the base period should move forward each year

→ USE the chain base method

IF measuring a household's cost of living over time

→ USE the CPI

IF asked what money can actually buy, or a wage's real value

→ USE purchasing power or the real wage formula

9

Comparison Tables

⚖️

Don't confuse these!

Laspeyre IndexPaasche IndexFisher Index
Quantity weights usedBase year (q0)Current year (q1)Both (geometric mean)
Inflation biasTends to overstateTends to understateBalances both biases
Data needed each yearOnly new pricesNew prices AND new quantitiesBoth indices' full data
Used in practiceMost common (less data needed)Less commonConsidered the "ideal" but data-heavy
Fixed Base MethodChain Base Method
Base periodOne year, unchanged throughoutMoves year to year (previous year is base)
ResultDirect index number"Link relatives", converted to a chain index
Nominal ValueReal Value
WagesMoney actually earned (current Rs.)What that money can actually buy after inflation
GDPCurrent-year prices × current-year quantitiesBase-year prices × current-year quantities
10

Worked Calculation Logic

✍️

Method students must reproduce in the exam

LASPEYRE PRICE INDEX: GIVEN → FORMULA → SUBSTITUTION → ANSWER

A basket of 4 materials: Σ(p0×q0)=21.0, Σ(p1×q0)=25.0.

GIVEN: Σ(p1q0)=25.0, Σ(p0q0)=21.0

FORMULA: Laspeyre = Σ(p1q0)÷Σ(p0q0)×100

SUBSTITUTION: = 25.0÷21.0×100

ANSWER: Laspeyre index = 119.04 → prices have risen 19.04%

PURCHASING POWER: GIVEN → FORMULA → SUBSTITUTION → ANSWER

The CPI in a given year is 140 (base year = 100). Find the purchasing power of the rupee.

GIVEN: CPI = 140

FORMULA: PP = (1÷CPI)×100

SUBSTITUTION: PP = (1÷140)×100

ANSWER: PP = 0.71 → the rupee now buys only 71% of what it did in the base year

REAL WAGE / DEARNESS ALLOWANCE: GIVEN → FORMULA → SUBSTITUTION → ANSWER

In 1980 an employee's wage was Rs. 1,200 when CPI was 180. CPI rose to 220 in 1982. Find the wage needed to keep the employee's purchasing power unchanged.

GIVEN: Wage1980=1,200, CPI1980=180, CPI1982=220

FORMULA: Wage1980÷CPI1980 = Wage1982÷CPI1982

SUBSTITUTION: Wage1982 = 1,200×220÷180 = 1,467

ANSWER: Additional dearness allowance = 1,467−1,200 = Rs. 267

INFLATION RATE: GIVEN → FORMULA → SUBSTITUTION → ANSWER

CPI was 120.18 in one year and 112.79 the next. Find the rate of inflation/deflation.

GIVEN: CPI1=120.18, CPI2=112.79

FORMULA: Inflation Rate = [(CPI2−CPI1)÷CPI1]×100

SUBSTITUTION: = [(112.79−120.18)÷120.18]×100

ANSWER: −6.15% → this is deflation (prices fell)

12

Exam Question Patterns

📝

Simple index calculation — single item, or unweighted aggregate

Laspeyre/Paasche/Fisher — construct and compare weighted indices

Chain index — building a series year by year

CPI & inflation rate — direct calculation and interpretation

Purchasing power / real wage / real GDP — adjusting for inflation

Conceptual — uses/limitations of index numbers, base period selection

13

Exam Traps

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⚠ WATCH OUT

  • ✗ Laspeyre vs Paasche mix-up — check whether q0 (base) or q1 (current) weights are used.
  • ✗ Forgetting the ×100 at the end of an index calculation.
  • ✗ CPI vs purchasing power direction — they move inversely; don't apply the wrong formula.
  • ✗ Nominal vs real confusion — always check whether inflation has been removed.
  • ✗ Chain index errors — using the WRONG previous year's chain index in the next link.
14

Quick Decision Tree

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QUESTION GIVEN
↓
Single item, weighted basket, or economic measure (CPI/wages/GDP)?
↓
Basket → base (Laspeyre) or current
↓
(Paasche) weights?
↓
Economic → CPI, inflation, PP,
↓
real wage/GDP
↓
CALCULATE → INTERPRET → FINAL ANSWER
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Chapter 9 in 60 Seconds

⚡

Simple index: p1/p0×100

Laspeyre: Σ(p1q0)/Σ(p0q0)×100

Paasche: Σ(p1q1)/Σ(p0q1)×100

Fisher: √(Laspeyre×Paasche)

CPI: current basket/base basket×100

Inflation: (CPI2−CPI1)/CPI1×100 PP = (1/CPI)×100

Trap: Laspeyre overstates, Paasche understates inflation

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All PRC-2 QAB revision notes
  1. Linear and Quadratic Equations
  2. Coordinate System and Its Application
  3. Mathematical Progression
  4. Linear Programming
  5. Financial Mathematics
  6. Discounted Cash Flows
  7. Data – Collection and Representation
  8. Statistical Measures of Data
  9. Indices
  10. Correlation and Regression
  11. Probability Concepts
  12. Probability Distributions